Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills head down to NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas to take on CJ Stroud and the Houston Texans. Both teams enter this AFC heavyweight battle with records of 3-1, both teams leading their respective divisions by a game. Kickoff will happen on Sunday, October 6th at 1:00 p.m. ET. The game will be aired on CBS. Let’s take a look at this Bills-Texans preview and predictions.
The Buffalo Bills offense had looked almost unstoppable through the first three weeks of the NFL season. They won a comeback shootout game against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 1 34-28. In Week 2 they cruised past the Miami Dolphins with a final of 31-10. That high-powered offense turned up the heat in Week 3 when the Jaguars came to town and they thumped them 47-10. They got their reality check in Week 4 when they went to Baltimore for Sunday Night Football. The Bills couldn’t get anything going as they fell 35-10.
The Houston Texans picked up where they left off last season, winning games. In Week 1 their divisional matchup with the Colts was a close one but the Texans won 29-27. In Week 2 they outlasted the Chicago Bears 19-13. Week 3 was the Texans’ own reality check, they went to Minnesota and got a dose of Sam Darnold, losing 34-7. Last week they took down the Jaguars in a close one 24-20. Buffalo is favored by 1 point on the road in this game.
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Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans Preview and Predictions
Over 46.5 Total Points (-120)
Only the New Orleans Saints (31.8) have scored more points per game through four weeks than the Buffalo Bills (30.5). The Houston Texans have given up 23.5 points per game through the same four weeks. While the Texans’ offense hasn’t been quite as potent, they are still averaging 19.8 points per game themselves.
This game will be the highlight on CBS for the early Sunday window and potentially an AFC matchup we could see later on in the playoffs. Look for Josh Allen and CJ Stroud to exchange blows all day long as they rack up points.
CJ Stroud Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Buffalo Bills are the third-worst rushing defense through three games in 2024. They’ve allowed an average of 156.5 yards on the ground. The Texans running back room is a still a little cloudy on if Joe Mixon will be back this week, but one player who’s had success running the ball very quietly this year is CJ Stroud.
Stroud has surpassed this 9.5-yard rushing mark in three of the Texans’ four games. The Chicago Bears held him to -1 yards on one attempt. In the other three games, Stroud has had at least 12 yards on the ground. Going back to 2023, Stroud hit this mark in eight games. Assuming this is a shootout game, stroud is going to be moving around and he’ll have his chances to scramble and pick up 10 yards.