Do you want to have a little more action on tonight’s game than normal? We’ve got a couple of NCAA Championship player props that you’ll want to consider for tonight’s game. You don’t have to only bet lines and totals. Why not sprinkle a little bit on a rebound or assist total. Or if you’re a true degen who likes to sweat, look to bet under. This is a great way to get a little more action on a game, and keep you sweating even if your point spread or game total play blows up.
We’ve dug through the slate of player props for the NCAA national championship game and found a few plays that you’ll want to jump on. Let’s go through the plays and the reasoning ahead of tonight’s action.
Houston vs Florida NCAA Championship Player Props
J’Wan Roberts Over 19.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-110)
Houston big man J’Wan Roberts enters the national championship game averaging 10.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game. His season average is slightly below the projection, but he’s seen an increased usage rate during the tournament, and he should see extra minutes in tonight’s match up with Florida. Roberts has gone higher than 19.5 PRA in three out of five games played in the tournament.
There’s also a game script in which Florida hacks Roberts every time he gets the ball. He’s not a very good free-throw shooter, but he could pick up a few extra points at the line and help get us home on the points, rebounds, and assists total.
Florida is a solid rebounding team, but has struggled recently against opposing big men. Johni Broome and Dylan Cardwell both did well on the boards against Florida in the Final Four. JT Toppin went off against the Gators in the Elite Eight. Let’s ride with Roberts to have a massive game here, and go higher than 19.5 PRA.
Also, if you’re a real degen, consider sprinkling the +1600 on Roberts for the Most Outstanding Player Award. If Roberts delivers 20 points and 10 rebounds, while working his butt off on defense, he could get us home on a 16-1 play.
Thomas Haugh Over 16.5 Points+Rebounds (-110)
Florida big man Thomas Haugh has gone higher than 16.5 PRA in three out of five NCAA tournament games. He’s also gone higher in two out of three SEC tournament games. Haugh has seen an increased usage rate over the last month, and he should see similar minutes in the National Championship.
Haugh has enjoyed recent success against teams like Texas Tech, Maryland, and Auburn. He’s a key piece of Florida on the offensive end and should continue his run of success against a nasty Houston defense.
Milos Uzan Under 3.5 Assists (-110)
Houston point guard Milos Uzan comes into the National Championship averaging 4.3 assists per game. However, he’s gone lower than 3.5 assists in three out of five tournament games, including the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight match up.
Florida enters this match up allowing opponents to average only 11.2 assists per game. That’s 29th in the nation. Florida is excellent at denying entry passes and clogging up passing lanes. Uzan has struggled to distribute against elite defenses, and he should see an assists total under 3.5 even with a few extra minutes tonight.
Will Richard Under 11.5 Points (-110)
Florida Gators guard Will Richard enters tonight’s game averaging 13.2 points per game this season, but he’s been struggling in the tournament. Richard has gone under 11.5 points in three out of five tournament games. Richard has also struggled against elite SEC defenses this year. He failed to score more than 11 points in two out of three games against the Tennessee Volunteers.
Richard scores roughly half his points on shots from beyond the arc. Houston only allows opponents to shoot 30.3% from deep this year. That’s 17th in the country. Houston also limits opponents’ possessions.
The Cougars only allow opposing teams to attempt 51.3 shots per game. That’s seventh in the nation. When Florida has the ball, they’re going to look to Walter Clayton, Jr, Alijah Martin, or Alex Condon before they look to Richard. This means that he’s the fourth option on a team that will have limited possessions in this game. Richard won’t get nearly as many looks or as many clean looks as he’s used to.
This is a tough match up for Richard. He won’t put up a zero like he did on February 22nd against LSU, but he also won’t go over 11.5 points in this game. If you can get Richard to go lower than 2.5 three-pointers made, that could be an even safer number to play.
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