The NFL free agency has ended, and each team is prepping for the draft. One thing that will change throughout this offseason is the sports books’ idea of how many games each team will win. We have NFL win totals for most teams now. However, given that these win totals are pre-draft, they’re bound to change by next month. We will keep you updated on how they change throughout the year. Let’s take a look at the 2025 NFL Futures market with win totals before the draft! Check out the SGP Guys’ win totals episode here.
2025 NFL Win Totals Tracking: Pre-Draft NFL Win Totals Futures Bets
NFC North
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Detroit Lions: 10.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Green Bay Packers: 9.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
Chicago Bears: 8.5 (Over +110/Under -130)
Minnesota Vikings: 8.5 (Over -130/Under +110)
The Detroit Lions didn’t make a lot of changes in free agency. However, they didn’t need to. They didn’t have much roster turnover and are coming off a 15-2 season. Despite the rest of their division getting better, it’s hard not to believe they’ll win 3-4 games in the division. With games against the Browns, Steelers, Cowboys, and Giants, it seems like over 10.5 seems easy enough.
The Packers are next, after going 11-6 last year. They also have some games that should prove easier against the Panthers, Browns, Cowboys, and Giants. They didn’t do much in free agency, though. Will it be enough for them to keep up? This one feels too close to call as I see the season ending in 9-10 wins.
The Bears did a lot of work in the free agency and offseason, especially with beefing up the trenches. They finished 5-12 last year. Did they do enough to improve by nine games? Call me a biased Bears fan, but I think so, especially with a favorable schedule. Over 8.5 feels like the play.
Finally, the Vikings, who finished 14-3 last year. They’ll turn the keys over to J.J. McCarthy and hope that he can do what Sam Darnold did last year. This is the NFC North team I think will take a big step back. I don’t like their schedule as much as the other NFC North teams.
Best NFC North NFL Win Totals To Bet: Lions Over 10.5, Bears Over 8.5, Vikings Under 8.5
NFC East
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Philadelphia Eagles: 11.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Washington Commanders: 9.5 (Over -120/Under +120)
Dallas Cowboys: 7.5 (Over +105/Under -125)
New York Giants: 5.5 (Over +115/Under -140)
The division that rarely has a repeat winner is up next, and the 2024 Super Bowl Champions lead the way. Last year they finished 14-3. They made very few changes over the offseason and lost more than they gained. However, they had the depth, which is one of the reasons they were able to win the Super Bowl last year. The first-place schedule is tough, but it’s hard not to see them winning more than 12 games again.
Washington made some big changes this offseason, especially through trades. Will it be enough to keep Jayden Daniels from a sophomore slump? They won 12 games in his rookie season. As long as he stays healthy, I expect they’ll keep the pedal to the metal. Over 9.5 wins seems like a good NFL Futures win totals bet.
It’s cloudy from here on out. The Cowboys are sitting at 7.5 after winning just seven games last year. It’s hard to think they’ll win less than seven games, but it’s also entirely plausible. They had another quiet offseason, and it’s always fun to fade the Boys.
Finally, the Giants. They won three games last year, but should have improved quarterback play with Russell Wilson and/or Jameis Winston. Their schedule doesn’t feel like a fourth-place schedule, though. Away games in Chicago, Denver, Detroit, and New England all feel like raw deals. Their win total line is close, but I think I’m going to fade them this year.
Best NFC East NFL Win Totals To Bet: Eagles Over 11.5 wins, Commanders Over 9.5 Wins
NFC West
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
San Francisco 49ers: 10.5 (Over +110/Under -130)
LA Rams: 9.5 (Over -130/Under +110)
Seattle Seahawks: 8.5 (Over +115/Under -140)
Arizona Cardinals: 8.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
This is perhaps the murkiest division in the NFC. None of these teams feels like they’re going to win over ten games, in my opinion. Especially not the 49ers, who seem to be trending in the wrong direction after losing a lot this offseason. Their under is juiced for a reason, and I like it. Last year, they won six games, and I don’t know if a healthy CMC pushes them up five games.
The Rams feel like the team that will win the division, but it all depends on Stafford’s health. They won ten games last year, and that feels like the same number they’ll win this year. I expect after the draft they’re win total will be at 10.5, so grab it at nine while you can.
The Seahawks go from Geno Smith to Sam Darnold and DK Metcalf to Cooper Kupp. As much as I love Darnold and Kupp, I’m not sure these are upgrades at this point in their careers. Especially behind a poor offensive line. They won ten games last year, but I don’t expect them to have the same success. However, the under is too juiced right now.
After winning eight games, the Cardinals made a couple of moves this offseason. With home games against Carolina, Jacksonville, and Tennessee, I like their schedule better than their other NFC West counterparts. I’ll sprinkle a little on their over, expecting them to win nine games.
Best NFC West NFL Win Totals To Bet: 49ers UNDER 10.5, Rams Over 9.5
NFC South
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Tampa Bay Bucs: 9.5 (Over -105/Under -115)
Atlanta Falcons: 7.5 (Over -115/Under -105)
New Orleans Saints: 6.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Carolina Panthers: 6.5 (Over -125/Under +105)
The NFC South seems to be the weakest division in the NFC. No team has a 2025 NFL win totals mark of over 9.5 games. The Bucs are sitting at 9.5 right now after winning ten games last year. They made some key resignings and should be able to keep up the same momentum. I like them hitting over this mark.
The Falcons are next at 7.5 games. They won eight last year, primarily with Kirk Cousins as their quarterback. It would appear as if they’re going to hand the keys over to Michael Penix, so much of their season will rely on his development. They didn’t help themselves on defense this offseason, which will hold the team back from winning over eight games.
The Saints have needs all over. They only one five games last year, with Derek Carr in-and-out injured last year and Spencer Rattler starting some games. They didn’t make much progress in the offseason and it’s hard to see them being better.
After winning five games last year, the Panthers focused on their defense in the offseason. A lot of their success will depend on Bryce Young. Can he be a successful NFL quarterback? I don’t think so. However, whether he can win seven games is a completely different question. I don’t like most of the lines in this division as they stand right now.
Best NFC West NFL Win Totals To Bet: Bucs Over 9.5 wins.
AFC North
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Baltimore Ravens: 11.5 (Over -115/Under -105)
Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5 (Over -150/Under +125)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5 (Over +110/Under -130)
Cleveland Browns: 4.5 (Over -150/Under +125)
The AFC North NFL win totals are led by the Ravens at 11.5 wins after they won 12 last year. They didn’t add many players in the offseason, but they also didn’t lose many. They’ll look to continue to lead the division. Their home schedule looks like one that should be pretty easy. It’s hard to see them losing six games, barring any major injuries.
The Bengals are next, after winning nine games last year. They’ve heavily invested in three pieces: Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins. Will they be able to have enough of a supporting cast around that? Trey Hendrickson wants out, which would be a huge blow to their defense. I’m fading the Bengals until further notice.
The Steelers won ten games last year with Russell Wilson as their quarterback. It’s yet to be seen who their quarterback will be this year. Will it be Aaron Rodgers? A rookie? Mason Rudolph? I’m going to continue to believe in Mike Tomlin winning over .500, making it the easiest one to bet.
Last, the Browns’ win total for their NFL futures currently sits at 4.5. They won only three last year. It’s hard to know who will be quarterbacking this team. They have questions all over the board. However, everything could change when they pick second in this year’s draft. We’ll keep an eye on it.
Best AFC North NFL Win Totals To Bet: Ravens Over 11.5, Steelers Over 8.5
AFC East
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Buffalo Bills: 11.5 (Over -145/Under +120)
New England Patriots: 8.5 (Over +115/Under -135)
Miami Dolphins: 8.5 (Over +110/Under -130)
New York Jets: 5.5 (Over -145/Under +120)
Last year, there was a lot of offseason rhetoric on the Bills taking a step back. They answered those doubts by winning 13 games. Led by Josh Allen, they should be able to continue to be a strong contender. In fact, I think they will be THE contender this year. This is the year Allen gets the Bills to the Super Bowl.
The Patriots jump from winning four games last season to a win total of 8.5 this year. They had a big offseason through the free agency and with good draft collateral, should be able to build on that offseason. However, will it be enough to jump five games up? I’m not as confident in that.
The Dolphins won eight games last year. I don’t see them having enough changes on either side of the ball to advance past that. Tyreek Hill is good, but aging. Tua Tagovailoa still has injury concerns. Things are trending in the wrong direction for the Dolphins.
The Jets are last in this division as far as projected NFL win totals go. They won five games last year. However, they no longer have Aaron Rodgers and have brought in Justin Fields to try and turn the season around. As a Bear fan, I think he’s going to help them stay in a couple of games. His athleticism is off the charts and he looked good enough when he was starting for the Steelers.
Best AFC East NFL Win Totals To Bet: Bills Over 11.5, Patriots under 8.5, Jets over 5.5
AFC West
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Kansas City Chiefs: 11.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
LA Chargers: 9.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Denver Broncos: 9.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Las Vegas Raiders: 6.5 (Over -130/Under +110)
The Super Bowl running up Chiefs are set at 11.5 wins after going 15-2 last year. Despite their division getting a little tougher than it’s been in the past, it’s hard to see them regressing much. They have some tough home games against Philly, Detroit, and Baltimore. However, they have some away games like the Jags, Giants, and Titans.
The Chargers won 11 games last year in Jim Harbaugh’s first season as head coach. They didn’t have much as far as turnover goes and should remain competitive. How far they can go with Justin Herbert is yet to be seen, but I don’t see them taking two games back.
The Broncos won ten games last year in Bo Nix’s rookie season. This is another quarterback that we’ll have to keep an eye on for a sophomore slump. A lot of times, with a full season of game tape, teams can gameplan better for the quarterback. This would make me nervous to take them over the 9.5 wins.
Finally, the Raiders have a new head coach in Pete Carroll and a new quarterback in Geno Smith. Smith and Carroll are very familiar with each other from their time together in Seattle. The Raiders only won four games last year and should ultimately be better under head coach Carroll. Although I don’t know if I am confident enough in them winning seven games right away.
Best AFC West NFL Win Totals To Bet: Chiefs over 11.5 wins
AFC South
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Houston Texans: 9.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
Indianapolis Colts: 7.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 7.5 (Over -125/Under +100)
Tennessee Titans: 5.5 (Over -150/Under +125)
Last, we have the 2025 NFL win totals of the AFC South. The Texans won the division last year with 10 wins. Things weren’t as easy for CJ Stroud as they were in his rookie year, and this gives pause on whether I like them to win another 10. However, it is a weaker division.
The Colts won eight games last year with a mixture of Anthony Richardson and Joe Flacco. I feel they’re sitting better this year with Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones. Danny Dimes may end up winning this starting job, and they’ll be in a better place because of it. Of the teams in this division, their over feels the easiest.
The Jacksonville Jaguars were a mess last year, only winning four games. I don’t know if Trevor Lawrence can be a successful NFL quarterback anymore. Sure, they dealt with a lot of injuries and poor offensive line play. However, I don’t think they’ve done enough to turn that around yet.
The Titans were at the bottom of the barrel last year with only three wins. They hold the number one draft pick and are expected to take Miami quarterback Cam Ward. However, they have a lot of needs, and I don’t know if Ward is enough to win them three more games.
Best AFC South NFL Win Totals To Bet: Colts Over 7.5 Wins, Jaguars Under 7.5 Wins, Titans under 6.5 Wins
Check back every month for updates on the NFL Win totals and futures for each team.
