It is an exciting time to be a tennis fan, as Wimbledon is right around the corner. However, there is an unusual amount of uncertainty regarding the men’s event this year. In previous years, you could just pick Novak Djokovic to win the tournament and leave with a winning ticket. However, it is not that simple this time around. Never fear! SGPN is here with all the picks and best bets for the 2024 Wimbledon field.
Besides losing in the Wimbledon championship match to Alcaraz last year, Djokovic is also recovering from a torn meniscus which he suffered during the French Open. As a result, it is difficult to predict just how well his body will hold up throughout the entire tournament. On the bright side, that does open up a ton of interesting betting opportunities regarding the rest of the field.
2024 ATP Wimbledon Outright Picks and Best Bets
Jannik Sinner (+185)
Since people continue to reminisce about last year’s title match between Alcaraz and Djokovic, it is easy to forget that Sinner lost to Djokovic in the semifinals. Since that defeat, Sinner has blossomed into one of the best players in the sport and even managed to win his first Grand Slam title in Australia earlier this year. Plus, he managed to push Alcaraz to five sets in the French Open despite clay being his weakest surface.
With Sinner’s underrated serve and elite power from both wings, grass is a surface that suits his game rather well, which should lead to another deep run at the All-England Club. Plus, he inherited a manageable quarter since he has won five straight matches against Daniil Medvedev.
Despite losing in the French Open semifinal to his biggest rival, Sinner is still the number-one ranked player in the world for a reason. Do not underestimate him. Expect him to reach the semifinals with relative ease before potentially making a push towards his second Grand Slam title of the year.
Carlos Alcaraz (+240)
Although Carlos Alcaraz is not technically the number-one player in the world, you can make a reasonable argument that he should be. In addition to beating Jannik Sinner in each of the first two meetings this season, he is also fresh off of winning his third Grand Slam title. Alcaraz was hyped up at a very young age, and he has somehow surpassed all expectations up to this point. With an insane amount of talent and a quality coaching staff behind him, Alcaraz is a threat to win any tournament that he enters.
I should also mention that Alcaraz won the Wimbledon title last year and managed to defeat Djokovic in a five-set thriller during his title run. After proving that he can beat the best grass player in the history of the sport, one can argue that he should actually be the betting favorite for this year’s iteration. Plus, he was gifted an extremely weak draw, which should have helped him conserve energy before a potential semifinal matchup against Sinner.
Hubert Hurkacz (+2000)
Since I am concerned about Novak Djokovic’s durability over the course of this event, I might as well back his biggest challenger in the quarter in Hubert Hurkacz. The two of them actually faced off in last year’s Round of 16 as Djokovic won in four sets. However, Hurkacz had chances to win each of the first two sets via tiebreak so one can infer that he has the game to upset a potentially compromised Djokovic in a hypothetical rematch.
Hurkacz has one of the best serves on the entire tour, which should make it almost impossible for him to break on grass. While the price is understandable, there is reason to believe that Hurkacz can make a deep run if certain events fall into place on his behalf. It is also worth mentioning that Alcaraz and Sinner are not on his side of the bracket, which increases his hypothetical chances of reaching the Wimbledon title match.
Taylor Fritz (+6000)
I know what you are all thinking. An American!? Are you picking an American to win a Grand Slam event?! I know that an American man has not won a Grand Slam title since Andy Roddick in 2003. However, I also think that this price is too high.
Taylor Fritz is still a Top-15 ranked player in the world, and he is still a former Wimbledon quarterfinalist. He is a solid grass player. He also inherited a draw full of inconsistent and/or weak grass players. Alexander Zverev is the favorite to win the quarter, but he has never made it past the fourth round at Wimbledon, so I am a bit skeptical. Jack Draper is the second-favorite despite never reaching the third round at Wimbledon.
My point is that the third quarter is wide open, and Fritz has looked sharp at Eastbourne in his final grass event before Wimbledon. He has a solid chance to reach the quarterfinals, which makes me believe that this line should be closer to +4000. Therefore, I will gladly throw a small amount on +6000.
