Some people like to sweat out a bet for 9 hard innings – others like immediate satisfaction. Count us as being in the latter, which is why we like to get down with MLB NRFI and YRFI picks. And we’ve decided to pass that knowledge on to you with our NRFI bets for May 11. Go here for MLB World Series odds.
Of course, there are plenty out there taking blind guesses at this stuff. It’s easy to pick the best hitting team or look at what happened in the last game. However, we spent the time pouring through the analytics to make sure that we give you the best odds to stay in the green on these NRFI and YRFI props for May 11. Come check out what we have cooked up for this slate of games.
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MLB NRFI and YRFI Picks – May 11
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox
First Pitch – 4:10 pm EST
Fenway Park – Boston, Massachusetts
Broadcast – NESN
I love an NRFI play with only one side to worry about. In this Saturday contest, I don’t have to worry about the Nationals scoring at all. Firstly, they’re the worst team in the majors in terms of first inning runs – just 0.25 per game. They’re a bit higher up for the full game, but they take a bit to get going. Hurting their chances is Cooper Criswell and his 1.74 ERA. He’s been solid for the Sox and all he’ll need to be is decent to shut down the Nationals early.
On the other side, I think the Nationals can keep the Red Sox at bay over the first inning. Jake Irvin has been decent for the Nationals. He’s allowed two or less earned runs in three of his last four games. The Red Sox haven’t been hot early in games either. They have no runs in the first inning in any of the last five games. Plus, they’re in the bottom half of the league in scoring in general – so give me that NRFI for this one.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for May 11: No (-130)
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels
First Pitch – 9:38 pm EST
Angel Stadium – Anaheim, California
Broadcast – MLB TV
Kansas City might be one of the best teams in the majors in terms of scoring in the first inning (currently 5th at 0.69 per game), but they face a good arm in Tyler Anderson. Anderson has a 2.74 ERA on the year and it’s a touch lower when he’s at home. He’s also only allowed more than three earned runs one time this year (seven starts).
On the other side of things, the Angels haven’t been all that strong this year on offense. They are 19th in the league in runs per game and 19th in first inning runs as well. They’ll face the live-arm of Cole Ragans. While his scoring numbers are a bit worse than Anderson, the strikeouts are out of control. The Angels are in the bottom third of the league in strikeouts, which should help this NRFI stay in play.
NRFI/YRFI Bet for May 11: No (-130)
If you’d like even more info to help make your NRFI picks for May 11, check out the MLB Gambling Podcast. They’re dropping episodes five days a week to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar with their MLB picks today.
